Policy Paper no. 5. Cracks in the Iron Veil: Lukashenka’s Belarus and the Illusion of Change

Dr. Roza Turarbekova and Dr. Lizaveta Dubinka-Hushcha, “Cracks in the Iron Veil: Lukashenka’s Belarus and the Illusion of Change ”. Belarus Research Network on Neighborhood Policy, 2025.

This policy paper critically examines the illusion of political change in Belarus under Lukashenka, arguing that recent shifts are tactical moves to preserve authoritarian control rather than genuine reform. It also explores Belarus’s deepening dependency on Russia and symbolic alignment with China, urging stronger Western engagement to support democratic resilience and regional sovereignty.

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